GUJARAT's GROWTH Vs MADHYA PRADESH's AGGRESSION

With lok sabha elections one year away (let’s assume) news channels are busy doing their opinion polls and predicting seats for existing and fictitious alliances. Top channels including CNN IBN and TIMES NOW conducted their opinion polls namely ‘election tracker’ and who ‘will form government’. All these surveys predict BJP getting maximum seats and NDA emerging as single largest alliance. Political pundits have forecasted a clean sweep for BJP in Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh and Rajastan. Also BJP with existing allies getting majority of Maharashtra and Punjab. As per TIMES NOW survey Modi remains most popular figure for PM’s post, occupying 38% people’s vote. Rahul Gandhi with 18% and manmohan singh below him. News channels have done a tricky thing this time, to evoke Shiv Raj Singh’s name in the whole ‘MODI’ debate. Thus willing to create war between two tycoons within the sangh parivar. Both chief ministers did their job nicely and they are still popular even after 10 years of occupying power. Madhya Pradesh after poor administration from Digvijay Singh, saw some progress and development in Shiv Raj’s administration in MP. As the state elections are round the corner, there is no question of sangh losing MP.

As per the latest survey did by CNN IBN, Gujarat is expected to give maximum support to BJP, with BJP winning 20-24 seats out of 26 and congress thrashed with 2-6 seats. After 2009 LS polls BJP managed to win 15 and congress 11, but this time congress loose significantly. BJP is expected to get 54% vote share and congress 36 down 9% from last time. BJP with modi magic did nice work in the state, even after the disastrous 2001 bhuj earth quake, Gujarat witnessed drastic development under leadership of sangh. Also, BJP projecting Modi this time will polarise vote for them, even congress supporters finding it really hard, not to vote for MODI. In Madhya Pradesh BJP is expected to get 21-26 seats, and congress expected to get 2-6 and others 0-4 seats out of 29 LS seats. There ought to be a substantial decline in BSP vote share as the party will surely lose its OBC vote bank to BJP. As the lok sabha elections are contested between national parties, BSP with its minimal support cannot be a game changer this time. With BJP expected to bag 50% of votes up from 43 in previous LS polls and Congress losing to BJP and getting 34% vote share. Traditional hindu upper caste vote bank will support BJP this time too.

Thus BJP-fied states will kick congress out of the parliament. Even without proper alliance. Thus bagging 3/4^th of these states, BJP can emerge with almost 46 seats out of 55, BJP and the alliance is short of 226 seats. Bagging 40-45 seats in UP and improving the tally in Rajastan, Bihar and south India. South may give more allies to BJP. Thus prior to 2014 LS polls, these are chance for a debate over Gujarat’s growth and MP’s aggression. Common people will vote for the sustainability of model they prefer.

NAMO CHARGE: REVIVAL OF BJP IN UTTAR PRADESH

2014 Lok Sabha elections will not be a cake walk for the ruling alliance, as the country is suffering from all these economic contradictions. Where GDP is low, inflation is high and rupee is losing its strength, where domestic brands loose all the horns. The countdown has started, as per the reports political parties are not willing for a mid-term polls. Election is expected to happen in April 2014. National channels have begun doing sample surveys, as the election commission is planning to ban pre-polls. Might do everything to save the ruling alliance. The most interesting state to watch out is Uttar Pradesh, where all major parties BJP, Congress, BSP and SP come on neck n neck. The land is often referred to as the heartland of hindutva, which saw the rise of sangh parivar and fall of BJP after Vajpyee era. The state is critical for BJP, as it provides 80 MPs to the parliament. The state has seen the worst kind of administration by the samajwadi goons, after Akhilesh Yadav occupied the seat of CM. Where his men and minister Raja Bhaiya was booked for the murder of a policemen. We have seen an aggressive Mulayam, Mayawati and congress fighting for the Muslim vote bank, leaving the Hindu upper caste with no choice but to be with sangh, which will fuel the prospective of Narendra Modi.

As per the latest survey done by CNN IBN and THE HINDU, BJP is expected to bag 29-33 seats is the elections were held today, 17-21 seats for SP and 14-18 seats for BSP leaving congress in forth spot with 11-14 seats. BJP is expected to get 27% votes, +9% from what they got in 2009 LS polls. Well, BJP is found as the single party which can maintain law and order in the state which see communal clashes and goonda giri on a day by day basis. This vote share rise is in a time when BJP is finding it difficult to project NAMO as its face. It will be a jackpot for them if they project Modi, but they did a sample test as they appointed Amit Shah as in charge of UP. He made few comments on Ram Mandir and hindutva, as the statics show it will have an impact. Re induction of Kalyan Singh will have some impact on few provinces. Narendra Modi contesting from Lucknow or Varanasi will help to polarise hindu votes and development model Modi proposes will inspire the youth (between 18-35 age group). As the SP lacks development credentials, they will have to emphasis on their traditional muslim vote bank. On the same poll, BJP with 28% was considered the party with most developmental ideas. As the Samajwadi Party supplies freebies, including laptops and tablets, it shrinks states economy and proving scholarships for minorities will have a negative impact on students from general category.

Revoking Ram temple issue will not harm BJP but will not give an advantage this time, instead they should focus on giving the public the real damage caused by the Gandhi family and the UPA government. They should make public aware of the fact that both SP and BSP, in the name of secularism supported the central govt, when they introduced all those anti-people schemes. Mayawati recently questioned Allahabad HC verdict to ban caste based rallies. But she still wants RSS and VHP to get banned, for which she will have to pay. Mulayam singh yadav will have to shed his prime Ministerial dreams for the time being. The third front will not be a reality this time, but this will surely fulfil India’s dream to see a great administrator emerging from Lord Ram’s ‘punya bhoomi’.

MALALA : THE MASCOT FOR NEW AGE FEMINISM

“I do not even hate the Talib who shot me. Even if there is a gun in my hand and he stands in front of me. I would not shoot him. This is the compassion that I have learnt from Muhammad-the prophet of mercy, Jesus Christ and Lord Buddha”

                                                                    -------------- MALALA YOUSAFSAI , ON UN SPEECH

malala at UN

It was difficult for me to accept that national media gave much attention to a teenager who was shot down by the Taliban in SWAT province of Pakistan, that too, a girl! But who was she? I, being an Indian had no affinity for Pakistan, or I do. But this incident on 9 October 2012 turned out to be a great chance for me and the world to know about a girl, who stood for Women’s rights, that too In Pakistan, much infamous for its atrocity over women. Were, women has been banned from entering public place all alone, where girls are not allowed to get proper education. Where children are forced to play with missiles when they are up to an age to hold a pen. I had no scope for her recovery, Taliban did shot her, and their bullets never miss the target. But, a miracle did happen, it was God’s will and it did happen, MALALA rose again like a phoenix bird. The world condemned the evil deeds of Taliban and their old views on women rights. They may not be even knowing something thing about RIGHTs. Later she got an opportunity to speak her mind at the UN. The world listened to her. Now, she stands as the mascot of new age feminism, which aims at giving girls and women the right to live with their “Head-Held-High”. Without considering their ethnicity, nationality, culture and tradition.

Malala, in the year 2009 started writing for BBC on their Urdu blog, which emphasised to showcase students’ life in war fed SWAT province of Pakistan. Taliban did chop off policemen’s head and hanged on the street square. Houses were vandalised and ethnic minorities were brutally treated by the militants. Taliban later banned girl schools and continued destroying them; families were forced to shift to Peshawar or Lahore. But, after a small interval Taliban did agree to lift the ban on schools. Later, Malala, who spoke for women and against Taliban was shot down by Taliban. She was shifted to London and she had a narrow escape. But what really matters is her affinity towards her dreams. She admits that she is not fighting against Taliban; she evoked the life lessons she learned from Mahatma Gandhi, Lord Buddha, mother Teresa and the Martin Luther king. But, what is the real task ahead of her? Will Pakistan government risk getting Malala back? How can Malala fight against Taliban, when Taliban is assumed to occupy Afghan parliament after NATO withdraws from the war fed nation?

What Malala can do, is to be an ambassador of peace for the “terror corridor”, normally referring to the afghan-pak region. Nothing can change dramatically the evil mind of the militants, what can neutralise the power is to defeat the Taliban and its brother organisations. Withdrawing of NATO will leave the whole Asia in trouble and it will surely have an impact on India, as the democracy is the real target of Pakistani militants. It will increase militancy in Kashmir. It will surely result in Pakistan-Jihadi nexus, more precisely ISI. Here, coming to the Malala matter, beyond doubt, she is the symbolism of Intellectual feminism.  As, it was important to note that her speech at United Nations was balanced, she mentioned every section of society and mentioning Gandhi was a clever one. With this, she created a sympathy wind in both Pakistan and India. She criticised India over the child labour. Nigeria- for poor poverty eradicating programmes. Pakistan- for denying women their rights...

Interestingly, all these chain of events happened when Taliban opened their office in Doha, to be more precisely, when they raised afghan flag in their office and displayed the name of “Islamic Emirates of Afghanistan”, which was its name during the five year military rule. Malala, for the time being should concentrate on developing her own credentials; she should go back to Pakistan and contest elections. Definitely, the public mood will be in favour of her and she can be a replica of ‘Benezar Bhutto’. She can have an overwhelming support from global nations as she is considered to be a realistic leader with secular credentials. She will be accepted by minorities too. If she can emerge as a strong ruler, militant activities in Pakistan will shrink and global view on Pakistan will change. As reports suggests, she is the front runner for Nobel Prize for peace, it will give Pakistan some time to relax as the nation is commonly referred to as the epicentre of world terrorism.

Pakistan finally produced someone who is worth of changing worlds’ prospective towards women. She stands before millions of women who live like slaves in the world, who are treated like animals, to whom laws never bend. Her speech at United Nations is highly optimistic and is full of positive energy and a ‘can do’ approach. She has got a task before her, to ignite herself and spread light to the world as Bengali author Rabindranath Tagore wrote in one of his poem. She has got every potential to overcome the created by the Taliban and barriers created by those people who still refuse to come out of darkness...............

WHEN RAMBO FIRES PAPPU...

Now, Indian economy is under a freefall, with a Central government much criticised over its own brand of ‘policy making paralyses’. National media’s, as usual, had better topics to discuss and debate. This includes Modi’s ‘Puppy’ analogy and his  ‘burqa’ of secularism remark. Thus, people seem to be less aware of rupee touching 60 mark against dollar and rehabilitation of locals in Uttarakhand. Further, International financial agencies have begun reducing India’s growth forecast, with the ruling party pulling for another rupee-eating-scheme called Food security bill, with which, they expect voters to forget about corruption, misrule and inflation. Interestingly, they think that with 6Kg of rice they can eradicate poverty and malnourishment. That is the prime reason why, UPA government is said to be living in the Fool’s Paradise.

UPA has lost every chance to have a comeback in the LS polls, first after BJP lost Karnataka election to congress, it gave them no political advantage as on the same day, Supreme Court gave a jolt to Centre over the ‘Coalgate’ scam. Then when its alliance partner DMK left the alliance and further increased their dependence over BSP and SP. Then, when Indian prisoner Sarabjit Singh was killed in Lahore jail and China’s aggressive evasion on Ladakh region. Government at centre forget to realise people’s mood and rising rage when Pakistan PM was welcomed and was given lunch, which Modi mocked as “chicken biryani Diplomacy’. Indian National Congress has become a reply-giving-party as their spokespersons are busy giving statements and condemning Modi’s speeches and interviews. Bodhgaya threats were ignored and later when congress general secretary Digvijay Singh related the blast series with Sangh. The saga of political game never ends, the congress, soon after Rahul Gandhi’s speech at CII realise that their youth icon has to improve his communicative and knowledge skills, and that speech was nothing as compared to his rival’s speech at FICCI.

RaGa’s speech at CII was as irritating as his Honey bee theory, where he showed the world that he still remains a youth with low IQ and potential of ever remaining young (in terms of IQ). But, Modi’s speech at FICCI was inspiring and the crowd gave him a standing ovation. Indian youth was inspired by his words. Later, he addressed Students at Ferguson College, Pune. Whereas, congress is hiding Rahul Gandhi behind the chair, Or perhaps they are avoiding a direct contest between MODI and Rahul. Where RaGa has no chance but to remain in second position. He use to advocate that power is poison, India could have been developed if his ancestors could have stayed away from power.  The same guy was not there in India, but left for Spain to celebrate his birthday, which Twitter celebrated as #pappudivas... Thus, Intellectual India, alias, net-izens are against Congress rule and UPA has no hope of attracting youth towards them. Thus, they have no option but to play their pet-Communal card. They will do everything to divide the society in terms of religion and to blame sangh for nothing. This strategy can be found as Congress leaders are busy patronisiong terrorist outfits like Indian Mujahhedien, saying that IM was created after 2002 riots.but, what they are not seeing is its link with Pakistani ISI and other terrorist outfits like LeT and JuD.

Terrorists target Hindu pilgrims, thus disturbs their Amarnath yatra. But government at centre is busy preaching secularism and justifying terrorists. Thus, they de-moralising the strength of Indian army and military forces. Government faces heat from the volatile Kashmir valley, but they still do nothing to eradicate terrorism, leaving Jammu Kashmir liberation front and Hurriet conference to train militants to do war against INDIA. What India really need is a stronger Leader, with potential to make Indians proud. To re-draw India’s growth story and to show an aggressive India to the globe. Not like Nitish Kumar, who left 22 children die, but still showing no improvement in mid day meal scheme. NaMo is the real RAMBO can deliver, not like the congress Media which called MODI liar, of rescuing 15k Gujaratis. NAMO’s speech at FICCI provides an excellent alternative towards UPA’s misrule and policy making paralysis. To make India’s economy stabilised is what NAMO’s primary focus should be. Today, Indian youth is much bothered of development rather A or B. Expecting, him to lift national flag at red fort on 15^th august 2014.