2014 Lok
Sabha elections will not be a cake walk for the ruling alliance, as the country
is suffering from all these economic contradictions. Where GDP
is low, inflation is high and rupee is losing its strength, where domestic
brands loose all the horns. The countdown has started, as per the reports political parties are not
willing for a mid-term polls. Election is expected to happen in April 2014. National
channels have begun doing sample surveys, as the election commission is
planning to ban pre-polls. Might do everything to save the ruling alliance. The
most interesting state to watch out is Uttar Pradesh, where all major parties BJP,
Congress, BSP and SP come on neck n neck. The land is often referred to as the heartland of hindutva,
which
saw the rise of sangh parivar and fall of BJP after Vajpyee era. The state is critical for BJP, as it
provides 80 MPs to the parliament. The state has seen the worst kind of
administration by the samajwadi goons, after Akhilesh Yadav occupied the seat
of CM. Where his men and minister Raja Bhaiya was booked for the murder of a
policemen. We have seen an aggressive Mulayam, Mayawati and congress fighting
for the Muslim vote bank, leaving the Hindu upper caste with no choice but to
be with sangh, which will fuel the prospective of Narendra Modi.
As per the
latest survey done by CNN IBN and THE HINDU, BJP is expected to bag
29-33 seats is the elections were held today, 17-21 seats for SP and 14-18 seats for BSP leaving congress
in forth spot with 11-14 seats. BJP is expected to get 27% votes, +9% from what
they got in 2009 LS polls. Well, BJP is found as the single party which can
maintain law and order in the state which see communal clashes and goonda giri on
a day by day basis. This vote share rise is in a time when BJP is finding it
difficult to project NAMO as its face. It will be a jackpot for them if they project
Modi, but they did a sample test as they appointed Amit Shah
as in charge of UP. He made
few comments on Ram Mandir and hindutva, as the statics show it will have an
impact. Re induction of Kalyan Singh will have some impact on few provinces.
Narendra Modi contesting from Lucknow or Varanasi will help to polarise hindu votes
and development model Modi proposes will inspire the youth (between 18-35 age
group). As the SP lacks development credentials, they will have to emphasis on
their traditional muslim vote bank. On the same poll, BJP with 28% was
considered the party with most developmental ideas. As the Samajwadi Party
supplies freebies, including laptops and tablets, it shrinks states economy and
proving scholarships for minorities will have a negative impact on students
from general category.
Revoking Ram
temple issue will not harm BJP but will not give an advantage this time,
instead they should focus on giving the public the real damage caused by the Gandhi
family and the UPA government. They should make public aware of the fact that
both SP and BSP, in the name of secularism supported the central govt, when
they introduced all those anti-people schemes. Mayawati recently questioned Allahabad
HC verdict to ban caste based rallies. But she still wants RSS and VHP to get
banned, for which she will have to pay. Mulayam singh yadav will have to shed
his prime Ministerial dreams for the time being. The third front will not be a
reality this time, but this will surely fulfil India’s dream to see a great
administrator emerging from Lord Ram’s ‘punya bhoomi’.
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